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So much for the efficient markets hypothesis

MBIA reported its Q1s today. As the FT and Bloomberg both point out, the losses were more than twice what analysts expected - the company actually lost more in Q1 2008 than in the whole of 2007. And the shares are up 7%.
So either everyone who's buying MBIA today is acting irrationally, or none of the analysts who got polled knew what they were talking about. Or both!

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