« Saving the student loan market | Main | Weekend reading - predicting the future »

The $1 trillion downgrade

Ambac and MBIA, of course. The estimate of downgrades comes from Bloomberg.
(Moodys will no doubt follow suit soon.)

And the FT (among others) points out that weren't we all panicking about the apocalyptic consequences of a monoline downgrade back in Q1, and what about that then? Well, yes we were; and since then we've had the ARS shutdown . But there's an argument that the effect of the downgrade has already been priced in - in which case, yesterday's decisions simply emphasise how far behind the curve the rating agencies are.

Comments (1)

zoltan :

"...the effect of the downgrade has already been priced in - in which case, yesterday's decisions simply emphasise how far behind the curve the rating agencies are".
If you're saying it that way, one might ask: if the market prices in a central bank rate change in advance, does that mean that the central bank is late?

Post a comment

(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)

Risk 15% Limited Subscription Offer